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Real Madrid has won each of the last two UEFA Champions League titles and three of the last four. The Spanish club will try to come out on top of the UEFA Champions League again this year with a win in the final this Saturday against Liverpool.
Madrid is a -165 favorite to lift the trophy in Kiev at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Liverpool is going off as a +135 underdog to win the match on Saturday. On the three-way line for regulation plus injury time, Real Madrid is a +120 favorite over Liverpool (+205 to win, +270 to draw). Of Real Madrid’s 12 UEFA Champions League titles, nine of the final games have been won in regulation.Barcelona won its third La Liga Championship in four years this season, taking back the league’s title from Real Madrid. But after that disappointing result in La Liga, another championship in the UEFA Champions League would go a long way in easing that pain.
Real Madrid upset Paris Saint-Germain in convincing fashion in the Round of 16, winning both legs to score an aggregate victory of 5-2 over the French Ligue 1 champions. Madrid also picked up aggregate wins over Italy’s Serie A champions Juventus and Germany’s Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich to advance to the final.
Like Real Madrid, Liverpool is hoping to make up for failing to capture its league title by earning some hardware in the UEFA Champions League. In English Premier League play, Liverpool overcame a slow start of 3-4-2 to finish the season on an 18-8-3 run.
Liverpool won its group in the UEFA Champions League to advance into the knockout stage, where it dispatched of Porto, English Premier League champion Manchester City and Roma to advance to this point.
Saturday’s total is set at three goals. The OVER is 8-3 in Real Madrid’s last 11 games and 7-3-1 in Liverpool’s last 11.
When these two clubs last met in the 2014 UEFA Champions League group stage, Real Madrid defeated Liverpool 3-0 on the road and 1-0 at home. Liverpool has done well to get to this game including its impressive upset over Manchester City, but Real Madrid’s recent form and path to this point make the defending champions a clear favorite.
For more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes or listen to it at So how do you beat the threepeaters elect, the most successful team in the competition’s history, sporting more individual and collective trophies than you can shake a stick at? It’s undoubtedly a daunting task, but thankfully not an impossible one. Zidane’s team have conceded 44 goals in the league this season, over 60 goals in all competitions, and rarely — in less than 30% of their games, in fact — keep a clean sheet. They can be got at, in a number of ways, is what I’m saying, and worse teams than Liverpool have been able to.
An emerging trend for this Real side is the tendency to concede early goals. This doesn’t necessarily spell disaster, as they are always liable to get a couple themselves, but a propensity for starting slow and digging a hole for themselves has been emerging this season. On Saturday, they will face one of the fastest starting teams in the game, and as both Manchester City and Roma have found out, a slow start against this Liverpool side can make the subsequent uphill climb insurmountable. Blitzing Real from the opening whistle could well set the stage for victory.
The attacking disposition of Zidane’s disciples makes them exceptionally dangerous going forward, but also leaves holes to be exploited at the other end. Marcelo can be a menace on the left, and Toni Kroos and Luka Modric are two of the best all-purpose passers in the world, but none of the three are defensive behemoths. Space is often left available both horizontally and vertically between Marcelo and his centre-back, and Kroos and Modric — the former in particular — will rarely cover the half-space in front of their backline with much gusto.
The result is that the extraordinarily athletic and talented — but still human — pairing of Sergio Ramos and Raphaël Varane are required to cover a lot of ground to put out fires. Incidentally, the areas in which these fires occur are where Mohamed Salah and Roberto Firmino thrive, and the battle between Liverpool’s top scorers and Real’s defensive stalwarts for dominion of that space could well determine the game.
It is expected that Zidane will start defensive midfielder Casemiro on Saturday in order to provide cover for his more creative outlets. The Brazilian sat out the majority of the second leg against Bayern Munich, and Real struggled mightily to protect their backline in his absence. While every player on the team is excellent on the ball, the 26-year old is not the most versatile passer, and will occasionally attempt to dribble his way out of trouble if his first and second option are cut off. This provides an opportunity for Liverpool’s aggressive counter press to win the ball in a dangerous area, and setting their pressing traps up to catch the number 14 out could pay off massively.
Another effect of having so many offensive-minded players in your team is that whenever the opposition has the ball, the majority of your players are waiting for the counter to set them free, anticipating possession to change hands so they can do what they do best. As a result, Real Madrid tend to become a little light on numbers in their own area, as neither Kroos, Modric or Kovacic do particularly well at tracking off-the-ball runners all the way home.
Both goals conceded — as well as a handful of chances — in the 2-2 draw with Bayern displayed how los Blancos’ attacking mind-set leave them vulnerable when teams dare to overload their 18-yard box. Pushing fullbacks or midfielders into the Madrid area should allow Liverpool to produce a numerical advantage in decisive moments.
Finally, there is the counter attack. With so many players pushed up the pitch, there will be spaces for the Reds to break into, particularly in the channels between Real’s centre-backs and fullbacks, and lacking genuine pace in midfield the Spaniards are at risk in transition. Zidane’s fearsome offense forces most teams to sit deep with nine or ten players behind the ball, making a counter attack difficult, but if Klopp’s men are brave enough to to trust their organisation and let Firmino and Salah be an outlet in these spaces, chances can be created against a team out of balance.Real Madrid are not a perfect team — though they are a very, very good one with potential match winners throughout the side. If Liverpool are to have any chance of lifting the Champions League trophy for the sixth time on Saturday, they will need to find the right balance of discipline and bravery, as well as identifying areas of weakness and executing an assault on them. This is not an impossible task by any means, but should the Reds succeed, it will have been a monumental achievement for a side whose pre-season expectations stopped at the round of 16.
All that is left now is to go out and play fucking football.BBC Radio 5 live’s coverage of the Champions League final starts at midday on Saturday, with kick-off at 19:45 BST. Mark Lawrenson is part of their commentary team in Kiev.
I had never been as nervous before a game as I was before my first European Cup final in 1984. Most of the Liverpool team felt the same way.
We had come all that way through the competition and the entire city was in a kind of frenzy.
You are aware that a lot of the country is behind you too, apart from Manchester United and Everton fans of course.

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Tonight marks the biggest game in 20 years for the Houston Rockets.Not since 1998 have the Rockets played in a meaningful game this late in the postseason. That game ended with John Stockton ending Houston’s season in front of their fans at the old Compaq Center.Hopefully history doesn’t repeat itself. The Golden State Warriors will try desperately to send the home fans home feeling like the series is over. The magnitude of this game cannot be overstated: handing the Warriors homecourt advantage back and being forced to win again in Oakland is a death sentence for the Rockets. Sure, we know they can win at Oracle, but a little wiggle room is required.It will be impossible for the Rockets to maintain that same fourth quarter defensive intensity for 48 minutes, but Houston knows the benchmark. They have to play at that level for a couple of stretches. Furthermore, the offense has to keep attacking the basket. Draymond Green and Kevin Durant are deterrents at the rim, but Houston found success attacking the basket at times in Game 4. James Harden in particular used the floater to great effect in the first half. Finally, Houston missed a lot of shots in the fourth quarter but that was more due to fatigue than anything else. The Rockets were getting good looks within their offense, and that’s a great sign.
Andre Iguodala and Klay Thompson are questionable to play in Game 5, but at this point we all know that’s bullshit. Both will be available and thanks to the miracles of modern medicine, both will be 100%. The Warriors will start their Death Lineup and those guys will play 40+ minutes if needed.

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INDIANAPOLIS -- James Hinchcliffe is no longer looking for a way to get into the Indianapolis 500.
The Canadian driver used a Twitter post Wednesday to announce that, "barring unforeseen circumstances,'' he would not start Sunday's race and a decision had been made to stop "pursuing other options'' after he failed to make the 33-car field during qualifying last weekend.
"There aren't really words to describe how missing this race feels,'' he wrote. "At the end of the day, we simply didn't get the job done. No excuses. This is our reality and we will face it head on, we will use it as motivation and we will come back stronger.''
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Missing IndyCar's showcase race, which is worth double points, likely takes Hinchcliffe out of the series championship hunt. He is currently fifth in the points standings.
It appears the only way Hinchcliffe could race now would be in the unlikely event another driver is injured during Friday's final practice session and wasn't cleared to drive in time for race day. Even then, it could be tough because he is the face of a national advertising campaign for Honda, eliminating the possibility he could drive a Chevrolet-powered car.
The Honda spots featuring Hinchcliffe are expected to run throughout the race and the primary sponsor of Hinchcliffe's No. 5 car, Arrow Electronics, has its name on temporary suites set up in the first turn at Indianapolis Motor Speedway.
The other driver who failed to make the field, Pippa Mann, was not expected to find a way into the race. But many figured Hinchcliffe, one of the series' most popular and highest-profile regulars, would find another ride at the expense of less decorated or experienced driver.
Speculation centered primarily on his Schmidt Peterson Motorsports teammates: Jay Howard, an Indy 500-only driver, and rookie Robert Wickens, who crashed in Monday's practice. Instead of putting Hinchcliffe into one of those cars, team owner Sam Schmidt got Hinchcliffe's sponsors to approve using their logos on the other cars in the team's stable.
When race purists celebrated the return of bumping during qualifying at Indy, nobody expected Hinchcliffe to be in this position. A combination of rain, bad timing and bad luck was simply too much to overcome. His slower than expected four-lap qualifying average on the first attempt following a 2-hour, 20-minute rain delay Saturday was the only official attempt he made.
Four of his six Indy starts have come from the first three rows including the No. 1 spot in 2016. But he has had only two top-10 finishes on the speedway's 2.5-mile oval -- sixth in 2012 and seventh in 2016.
But, as Hinchcliffe has noted repeatedly, he's also been through worse.
In 2015, he suffered a life-threatening injury when he crashed and a broken piece of his car punctured his leg and cut an artery. He missed the rest of the season but returned the next year and claimed Indy's prized pole position.
"He's had a lot worse days here so that helps keep it in perspective,'' Schmidt said.
Hinchcliffe has taken responsibility for what happened and he has started focusing on the series' next stop.
"I'm sorry we can't be on the track for you Sunday, but we will be pushing hard for the wins in Detroit,'' he wrote. "I wish all 33 drivers a fast and safe race. I will be watching and cheering on my SPM teammates. See you in Detroit.

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Giro d’Italia 2018Josef Newgarden on the Indy 500 and dealing with pressure

In ESPN The Magazine's World Fame 100 Issue, IndyCar champ Josef Newgarden tells us how he keeps it together on the track and the stage.

Missing IndyCar's showcase race, which is worth double points, likely takes Hinchcliffe out of the series championship hunt. He is currently fifth in the points standings.
It appears the only way Hinchcliffe could race now would be in the unlikely event another driver is injured during Friday's final practice session and wasn't cleared to drive in time for race day. Even then, it could be tough because he is the face of a national advertising campaign for Honda, eliminating the possibility he could drive a Chevrolet-powered car.
The Honda spots featuring Hinchcliffe are expected to run throughout the race and the primary sponsor of Hinchcliffe's No. 5 car, Arrow Electronics, has its name on temporary suites set up in the first turn at Indianapolis Motor Speedway.
The other driver who failed to make the field, Pippa Mann, was not expected to find a way into the race. But many figured Hinchcliffe, one of the series' most popular and highest-profile regulars, would find another ride at the expense of less decorated or experienced driver.
Speculation centered primarily on his Schmidt Peterson Motorsports teammates: Jay Howard, an Indy 500-only driver, and rookie Robert Wickens, who crashed in Monday's practice. Instead of putting Hinchcliffe into one of those cars, team owner Sam Schmidt got Hinchcliffe's sponsors to approve using their logos on the other cars in the team's stable.
When race purists celebrated the return of bumping during qualifying at Indy, nobody expected Hinchcliffe to be in this position. A combination of rain, bad timing and bad luck was simply too much to overcome. His slower than expected four-lap qualifying average on the first attempt following a 2-hour, 20-minute rain delay Saturday was the only official attempt he made.
Four of his six Indy starts have come from the first three rows including the No. 1 spot in 2016. But he has had only two top-10 finishes on the speedway's 2.5-mile oval -- sixth in 2012 and seventh in 2016.
But, as Hinchcliffe has noted repeatedly, he's also been through worse.
In 2015, he suffered a life-threatening injury when he crashed and a broken piece of his car punctured his leg and cut an artery. He missed the rest of the season but returned the next year and claimed Indy's prized pole position.
"He's had a lot worse days here so that helps keep it in perspective,'' Schmidt said.
Hinchcliffe has taken responsibility for what happened and he has started focusing on the series' next stop.
"I'm sorry we can't be on the track for you Sunday, but we will be pushing hard for the wins in Detroit,'' he wrote. "I wish all 33 drivers a fast and safe race. I will be watching and cheering on my SPM teammates. See you in Detroi

NASCAR All-Star Race 2018

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In some ways, the NASCAR All-Star Race portrayed aspects of a typical 1.5-mile event.But the NASCAR All-Star Race wouldn’t rate as typical as NASCAR experimented with an aerodynamic package that featured restrictor plates, front air ducts that pushed air through the front wheel wells and a big spoiler.For an event desperately needing a boost, the non-points race got one Saturday night at Charlotte Motor Speedway. The lead changed 12 times when counted at the start/finish line — none in the final 11 laps — but 38 times, according to NASCAR, when using its timing lines scattered throughout the track.NASCAR had one promising night. But don’t get too excited just yet. NASCAR’s charter agreements with the teams require several months of lead time for major aerodynamic changes. They can’t make the change for this year (at least with approval from the teams, which is doubtful, because of the costs involved).
As much as anyone hates to hear it, the prudent approach is the right approach even after a relatively successful All-Star Race that saw cars run much closer together and drivers working together to get their lane to run faster and push each other to the lead. The race featured the typical move of helping a driver to make some passes and then hanging that driver out to dry in order to advance positions.”From an eye test, we were certainly pleased with what we saw,” NASCAR executive vice president Steve O’Donnell said. “I think you’ll hear drivers say, directionally, there’s some things we can look at. We agree. … We’ll try to put a timeline together to look toward 2019.”
Brad Keselowski, not a fan of the package when announced last month, delivered this assessment:”You definitely seem to draft a little bit more, which has its highs and lows, but track position is super important, drag is super important,” he said. “Give us a few weeks to work on the race cars with a package like this and I’m sure we can mess it up.”Keselowski was not being sarcastic. The teams were given the front aero ducts and didn’t know their exact design until Friday. Their wind tunnel time and simulation data were limited because of it.Not surprising, drivers had different ideas for how to work on it, how to tweak it.
“It’s interesting for sure,” AJ Allmendinger said after he won the last-chance qualifying race. “I’ve still got mixed feelings on it. … Part of me thinks if we didn’t have as much restrictor, maybe a little more motor, it would be a little bit better. It was interesting for sure.”The top speeds in practice clocked in at 16 mph slower than with the previous package.”There is some tweaking [needed],” Joey Logano said after his third-place finish. “Personally, I would like to get rid of the drag ducts, just to try it. I don’t think that’s the right direction. Maybe it is. You don’t know until you try it.”I thought the racing was pretty entertaining from the driver’s seat. I would assume from TV and from the grandstands it was pretty entertaining.”
NASCAR will use the package for the Xfinity Series cars at Pocono, Michigan and Indianapolis. Harvick and O’Donnell said the key is engine development so they don’t have three different engine packages — one for restrictor plates at Daytona/Talladega, another for restrictor-plate races at select intermediate tracks, and then non-restricted engines for the rest of the races.”By the time it evolves, especially for the engine shop, this particular engine package would need to look very similar to what your Daytona and Talladega package [need] to look like. … That’s the reason you can’t just say, ‘Pull the trigger, let’s do it,'” Harvick said.Any rules package for 2019 likely would have to be decided by early September.”It’s a [new] motor package; it’s potential body change from what we race,” said Greg Zipadelli, Stewart-Haas Racing vice president of competition. “We’re just creating more work for ourselves, which just takes more resources.
“If it puts good racing on and the races are spread out, we’ll all figure it out as teams. Dumping it on us right now wouldn’t be the right thing to do.”But there will be plenty of conversations, and soon.”Directionally [we] do like some of the things you see,” O’Donnell said. “Now you’ve got to get together with the industry, debrief like we always do with the race teams, the drivers, certainly listen to the tracks and the fans, then the [manufacturers], talk about how do we continue to look at this and look at it in a smart way, look at it in an efficient way.”The drivers seemed relatively content with the racing. Harvick, mired in the pack for the second and third stages of the four-stage event, said it felt a little bit like an old race at Daytona when the track had several bumps.
“You could dive to the bottom, and the middle and the top was still going to be faster coming on the outside of you,” Harvick said. “I probably made a lot moves I shouldn’t have made, but you are trying to make something happen.”There was one big wreck, and it occurred because Martin Truex Jr. was taking more than giving, a typical restrictor-plate crash.”I knew if I let off and made sure we all didn’t crash, none of the other guys would have and I wasn’t going to win,” Truex said. “So I kept my foot in it and hoped we all could keep it straight. And I guess we all ran out of room. … We were four-wide going into [Turn 3] and there’s just not enough room for that.”
Truex quipped the package “was fun while it lasted” and the one good thing was he was able to improve on being awful in practice Saturday morning to running well Saturday night.No cars got airborne, a typical concern on restrictor-plate tracks.”I’m pretty sure there’s still a chance,” Allmendinger said. “That giant thing [of a spoiler] that hangs on the back of our race car, if it turns backward, I’m pretty sure [it will go over].”This is a test. That is what this race is about. … I wish the cars will be a little bit faster, but they sure put on a good race.”
“That’s not my decision to make,” Keselowski said. “They’re going to do what they want to do. It doesn’t matter what I like. I like having a job.”President Donald Trump congratulated 2017 NASCAR Cup Series champion Martin Truex Jr. and also thanked NASCAR for its support of him and his policies during a 10-minute ceremony Monday at the White House.”You [had] 19 top-5 finishes and led more than 2,000 laps. Does it get lonely being in front?” Trump said as he turned to Truex. “Not at all. Never, right? … Thanks to incredible speed, lightning-fast pit stops and exceptional driving, this team stood alone among NASCAR’s many contenders.”
Trump said NASCAR chairman Brian France has been his friend “for a long time” and said France has been doing “a fantastic job” running NASCAR.France’s endorsement of Trump in February 2016 was both celebrated and criticized within the NASCAR industry.”Brian has been with us since the beginning, like so many others who love NASCAR,” Trump said. “He’s been really a supporter right from the beginning. He said, ‘We support Trump.’ And so I want to thank you very much, Brian. That was incredible. That meant a lot.”The president also thanked NASCAR for its patriotism and for the drivers standing during the national anthem. NASCAR has no written policy on whether drivers and crews must stand for the national anthem, but no driver or crew member is known to have demonstrated during its playing.
“At every NASCAR race, you will see thousands of patriotic Americans from the grandstands to the pit stalls proudly waving our flag and roaring with joy at the words, ‘Start your engines,'” Trump said. “I will tell you, one thing I know about NASCAR, they do indeed, Brian, stand for the playing of the national anthem, right? They do indeed. Somebody said maybe you shouldn’t say that, that will be controversial. I said ‘That’s OK. NASCAR is not going to mind it at all, right, fellas?'”In congratulating Furniture Row Racing, Trump spoke about how the team overcame heartbreak in winning the race the day after crew member Jim Watson died away from the track at Kansas in October. Trump also spoke about Truex’s girlfriend, Sherry Pollex, and her fight against ovarian cancer.
“She is an incredible woman, and, Sherry, your determination in the face of adversity has been an inspiration to millions of Americans who know what you’re going through,” Trump said. “You’ve endured extremely tough treatments with grace and grit and a tremendous and beautiful smile. You are Sherry strong.”Truex presented Trump with a replica of one of his racing helmets.”I’m just really proud to be here today to represent the sport, to represent our millions of fans out there across the world,” Truex said.Chase Elliott was announced Saturday as the winner in fan voting for the final spot in the Monster Energy NASCAR All-Star Race (8 p.m. ET, FS1, MRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio).
Elliott, 22, was the top vote-getter among drivers not already qualified for the main event for the third consecutive year. The balloting puts his Hendrick Motorsports No. 9 Chevrolet into the exhibition’s field as the 21st and final entry.“I’m just appreciative of the support, especially it being the third year in a row,” Elliott said. “That does mean a lot to me, and it’s pretty special as a racer to know that the folk that are at home voting have my back like that. I definitely would love to make the people that voted for me proud and that’s the ultimate goal. I’ll keep working at it and hopefully get there one day.”
Elliott led twice for three laps and finished third in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series All-Star Open qualifying race. He also placed third in the first two stages, narrowly missing a transfer spot into the main event by his preferred method of racing his way in.
“For sure, I rather wanted to race my way in and not have to even worry about the fan vote this year, but it was a fun race, really,” Elliott said. “It was interesting to drive it, and I’m sure it was interesting to watch. I’m looking forward to being in the big show. I appreciate all the folks that voted for me again this year. Hopefully this time last year, we’ll be in the big show and won’t have to worry about it.”As we mentioned earlier, prior to the All-Star Race drivers who haven’t qualified can compete in the Monster Energy Open to claim a spot in the field. Chase Elliott, Alex Bowman, William Byron, Aric Almirola, Daniel Suarez, Erik Jones and Darrell “Bubba” Wallace Jr. are among those expected to compete in the open. The winners of the three stages in the open will qualify for the All-Star Race.Last year’s winner, Kyle Busch, is looking to defend his title and add another million to his purse. Busch has been hot to start the season, claiming three wins which is second in the series to Kevin Harvick with five.
“For us, being an all-star and being in the All-Star Race is one of the most fun things we get to do each year,” Busch said to NASCAR. “I’d say the Clash is another one of those and, with the All-Star Race, they are certainly two fun races where we get a chance to go after just a win and bring home the checkers or end up on the wrecker.
“It’s an exciting night and there’s a lot of energy there. It gives you the opportunity to run that many qualifying laps in a row. That’s all you’re doing – you’re giving it all you’ve got every single lap.”Unfortunately for Busch, history is not on his side. Only one driver since 1998 has secured multiple victories in the All-Star Race and that driver is none other than seven-time NASCAR champion Jimmie Johnson. Ryan Newman, Matt Kenseth, Kevin Harvick, Kasey Kahne, Kurt Busch, Jamie McMurray, Denny Hamlin and Joey Logano have also won the event.